Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cooper's Hawk In Sierra Madre Occidental
Cooper's Hawk in Sierra Madre Occidental has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-53%Since 1974
28Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Cooper's Hawk has fallen sharply in Sierra Madre Occidental: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+14%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3495% range
±61.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| 2026 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| 2027 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| 2028 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
| 2029 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.34 |
Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental
| Pinetop | ARIZONA | 3 | 2022 |
| Prescott | ARIZONA | 1 | 2022 |
| Aztec Peak | ARIZONA | 1 | 1978 |
| Blue | ARIZONA | 1 | 1980 |
| Pomerene | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| San Simon | ARIZONA | 1 | 1982 |
| Peña Blanca | ARIZONA | 1 | 2010 |
| Patagonia | ARIZONA | 1 | 2019 |
| Sunizona | ARIZONA | 1 | 1992 |
| Skull Valley | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Tonto Vill. | ARIZONA | 1 | 2006 |
| Forest Lakes | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| Bartlett Res | ARIZONA | 1 | 2018 |
| Redington | ARIZONA | 1 | 2021 |
| Mt. Graham | ARIZONA | 1 | 2018 |
| Amado | ARIZONA | 1 | 2016 |
| Sahuarita | ARIZONA | 1 | 2017 |
| Mcneal | ARIZONA | 1 | 2010 |
| Clay Spring | ARIZONA | 1 | 2007 |
| Carr Mtn | ARIZONA | 1 | 2015 |
| Portal | ARIZONA | 1 | 2021 |
| Sunizona 2 | ARIZONA | 1 | 2022 |
| Dragoon | ARIZONA | 1 | 2001 |
| Rucker | ARIZONA | 1 | 2004 |
| Reserve | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2009 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.