BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 195% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+195%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
295Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.11–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.11–0.1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 12% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.11–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.140.100.18
20270.150.110.19
20280.150.110.19
20290.150.110.19
20300.150.110.19

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ClearfieldPENNSYLVANIA92022
WoodvilleALABAMA32013
CarterKENTUCKY32025
Wayne N.F.OHIO31999
Brunnerville 2PENNSYLVANIA32021
TradeALABAMA22024
Pine GroveALABAMA22024
GreensportALABAMA22023
Borden SprngALABAMA21996
BrooksvilleALABAMA22021
LakeviewALABAMA22022
DrummondALABAMA22024
CamptonKENTUCKY22012
Potomac ParkMARYLAND22010
JenningsMARYLAND22025
East JavaNEW-YORK22025
OteenNORTH-CAROLINA22023
HendersonvilNORTH-CAROLINA22023
DellOHIO22014
StonecreekOHIO22024
South OliveOHIO22008
LynchPENNSYLVANIA22015
RamseyPENNSYLVANIA22025
ArnotPENNSYLVANIA22025
WallerPENNSYLVANIA22012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.