BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has edged up: up 18% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

+18%Since 1976TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
34Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
33YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.03–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+59%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.10Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±37.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.10 (95% range 0.03–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.090.020.17
20260.100.020.17
20270.100.030.17
20280.100.030.17
20290.100.030.17

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
South BendARKANSAS22019
BrousvilleLOUISIANA22021
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI21998
EudoraARKANSAS12016
HughesARKANSAS12017
HarrisburgARKANSAS12009
SaffellARKANSAS12019
MaynardARKANSAS11990
EnglandARKANSAS12019
Augusta 2ARKANSAS12016
BardwellKENTUCKY11990
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY12014
Morgan CityLOUISIANA11978
RoselandLOUISIANA12014
KeystoneLOUISIANA12013
ShawLOUISIANA11996
RayvilleLOUISIANA11968
GonzalesLOUISIANA12011
FrogmoreLOUISIANA11998
BelairLOUISIANA12021
KraemerLOUISIANA12017
BerwickLOUISIANA11989
Rayville 2LOUISIANA12023
River RoadLOUISIANA12021
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.