BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+157%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
132Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cooper's Hawk In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.14–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+49%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.22Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.14–0.2995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.14–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.210.130.28
20260.210.130.28
20270.210.140.29
20280.210.140.29
20290.220.140.29

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PeytonsvilleTENNESSEE52024
East UnionKENTUCKY42018
CentertonARKANSAS32024
SpencerINDIANA32018
Clear SpringINDIANA32014
VevayINDIANA32001
Sewell ShopKENTUCKY32022
MarshfieldMISSOURI32012
HillsboroALABAMA21966
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA21967
RupertARKANSAS21973
FultonARKANSAS21977
YorkILLINOIS22017
WashingtonINDIANA22015
HodgenvilleKENTUCKY22000
MerrimacKENTUCKY22023
EastviewKENTUCKY22018
Bays ForkKENTUCKY22018
RiverqueenKENTUCKY22023
DixonKENTUCKY22022
HandleyMISSOURI21990
Clementine 2MISSOURI22006
DiamondMISSOURI22015
PetersburgTENNESSEE22008
SwaimALABAMA12012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.