BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 213% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+213%Since 1977
23Routes In Region
42Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Common Yellowthroat has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 213% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.43 (95% range 0.10–0.77). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±206.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
0.43Projected 2029 index
0.10–0.7795% range
±206.4%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.420.090.76
20260.420.090.76
20270.430.090.77
20280.430.090.77
20290.430.100.77

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Chihuahuan Desert.
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS142009
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO132024
Dove Mtn.TEXAS132006
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO72019
MesillaNEW-MEXICO32000
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO21977
RodeoNEW-MEXICO21994
Red RockNEW-MEXICO22024
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO22003
PresidioTEXAS22010
JornadaNEW-MEXICO11988
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO12017
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO11996
EscondidaNEW-MEXICO12023
Black GapTEXAS12023
Casa PiedraTEXAS12008
CastolonTEXAS12013
Coyanda DrawTEXAS12023
Sierra BlancTEXAS12023
CanutilloTEXAS12022
Van HornTEXAS12019
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS12022
Chisos BasinTEXAS12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.