BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

12×Since 1970
30Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Common Yellowthroat has surged in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.83 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.33–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.33–2.495% range
±37.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.292.4
20261.30.292.4
20271.40.302.4
20281.40.322.4
20291.40.332.4

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA152018
ArabyARIZONA122023
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA122010
Palo VerdeCALIFORNIA92024
Ash MeadowsNEVADA82024
LagunaARIZONA72023
Cutter 2ARIZONA62018
NilandCALIFORNIA62024
GlamisCALIFORNIA41977
BlytheCALIFORNIA41979
FlorenceARIZONA21988
DatelandARIZONA22015
Cibola LakeARIZONA22024
Red Rock 2ARIZONA22019
OnyxCALIFORNIA22001
Calif CityCALIFORNIA21980
Parker DamCALIFORNIA22007
Kelso ValleyCALIFORNIA22008
BeattyNEVADA22021
Palo VerdeARIZONA12013
Red RockARIZONA12006
Casa GrandeARIZONA12019
Cactus ForestARIZONA12021
Palo Verde 2ARIZONA12023
Haiwee ResCALIFORNIA11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.