BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 26% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-26%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
75Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 9.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 9.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20267.70.0017
20277.50.0017
20287.40.0017
20297.20.0016
20307.00.0016

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Holey LandFLORIDA1412025
ClewistonFLORIDA1112023
AndytownFLORIDA541998
GoetheFLORIDA482025
ShawanoFLORIDA392002
TamiamiFLORIDA381974
Babcock RnchFLORIDA311990
Green SwampFLORIDA302025
PinecrestFLORIDA262025
FlamingoFLORIDA242025
Indiantown 2FLORIDA202025
Shawano 2FLORIDA202011
GardnerFLORIDA151999
PalmdaleFLORIDA142023
HomesteadFLORIDA132025
AlturasFLORIDA111986
BelmoreFLORIDA102024
BrowardFLORIDA101973
Weaver StnFLORIDA82018
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA72025
ChassahowitzFLORIDA72025
Dale MabryFLORIDA61988
CorbettFLORIDA62025
ChildsFLORIDA52018
KenansvilleFLORIDA52025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.