BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida has edged down: down 24% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-24%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
75Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 8.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20257.70.0017
20267.60.0017
20277.40.0017
20287.20.0016
20297.00.0016

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ClewistonFLORIDA1112023
Holey LandFLORIDA1112024
AndytownFLORIDA541998
ShawanoFLORIDA392002
TamiamiFLORIDA381974
GoetheFLORIDA372024
PinecrestFLORIDA342024
Green SwampFLORIDA332024
Babcock RnchFLORIDA311990
Shawano 2FLORIDA202011
FlamingoFLORIDA162024
GardnerFLORIDA151999
PalmdaleFLORIDA142023
CorbettFLORIDA122024
AlturasFLORIDA111986
BelmoreFLORIDA102024
BrowardFLORIDA101973
HomesteadFLORIDA102024
KenansvilleFLORIDA92024
Weaver StnFLORIDA82018
WebbFLORIDA82023
RomeoFLORIDA72024
Dale MabryFLORIDA61988
Devils GardnFLORIDA62024
ChildsFLORIDA52018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.