Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Yellowthroat In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Common Yellowthroat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-67%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Yellowthroat has fallen sharply in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.00–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-45%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.695% range
±20.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2 | 0.14 | 6.3 |
| 2026 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 6.1 |
| 2027 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 6.0 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 0.00 | 5.8 |
| 2029 | 2.5 | 0.00 | 5.6 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Carlisle | LOUISIANA | 29 | 1988 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 26 | 2022 |
| Bardwell 2 | KENTUCKY | 25 | 2024 |
| Freetown | LOUISIANA | 22 | 2019 |
| Commerce | MISSISSIPPI | 17 | 1993 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 14 | 2003 |
| Brousville | LOUISIANA | 14 | 2024 |
| Deventer | MISSOURI | 14 | 2024 |
| Tchula | MISSISSIPPI | 12 | 1975 |
| Kraemer | LOUISIANA | 11 | 2024 |
| Tallahatchie | MISSISSIPPI | 10 | 2024 |
| Transylvania | LOUISIANA | 9 | 2022 |
| Augusta | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2001 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2013 |
| Pawpaw | TENNESSEE | 7 | 2012 |
| Eudora | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Port Allen | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Atchafalaya | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Dahomey Nwr | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2024 |
| Cp Girardeau | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Gillett | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Dundee | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2022 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.