Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Yellowthroat In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Common Yellowthroat in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-54%Since 1969
108Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Common Yellowthroat has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.0–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
1.0–5.295% range
±32.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| 2028 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 5.2 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Four Lakes | ARKANSAS | 49 | 2001 |
| Pushmataha | OKLAHOMA | 22 | 2023 |
| Dry Fork 2 | ARKANSAS | 14 | 2024 |
| Derry | LOUISIANA | 14 | 1989 |
| Poyen | ARKANSAS | 13 | 2007 |
| Hollywood | ARKANSAS | 13 | 2024 |
| Princeton 2 | ARKANSAS | 13 | 2022 |
| Cypress | LOUISIANA | 13 | 1982 |
| Mer Rouge | LOUISIANA | 11 | 2008 |
| Oakdale | LOUISIANA | 11 | 1994 |
| Goodwater | OKLAHOMA | 11 | 2021 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 10 | 2023 |
| Ivan 2 | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2016 |
| Many | LOUISIANA | 9 | 1992 |
| Blakely | ARKANSAS | 8 | 1999 |
| Carterville | LOUISIANA | 8 | 1992 |
| Flat Creek | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2024 |
| Pine Prairie | LOUISIANA | 8 | 1997 |
| Grayson | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2021 |
| Bethel | OKLAHOMA | 8 | 2024 |
| Crows | ARKANSAS | 7 | 1991 |
| Havana | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2021 |
| Dry Fork | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Easton | LOUISIANA | 7 | 1990 |
| Goodwill | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.