BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-12%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.40–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.40–3.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.40–3.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.90.493.3
20261.90.473.2
20271.80.453.2
20281.80.423.2
20291.80.403.2

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA212015
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA182015
St XavierMONTANA142011
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA142015
DaytonWYOMING142024
RochfordSOUTH-DAKOTA122018
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA112024
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA112024
FlatwillowMONTANA92008
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA92023
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA92013
MoskeeWYOMING92001
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA82004
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA82019
Roosevelt PkNORTH-DAKOTA82019
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA82011
Ft ThompsonSOUTH-DAKOTA62011
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA62021
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA62024
Flatwillow 2MONTANA52023
LindsayMONTANA52024
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA52017
SundanceWYOMING52024
HighwoodMONTANA42024
CircleMONTANA42022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.