BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-8%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
109Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 10% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.37–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.37–3.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 10% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.37–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.80.463.2
20271.80.443.2
20281.80.413.2
20291.80.393.1
20301.70.373.1

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA212015
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA182015
DaytonWYOMING172025
St XavierMONTANA142011
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA142015
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA122025
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA122025
FlatwillowMONTANA92008
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA92025
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA92013
MoskeeWYOMING92001
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA82004
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA82019
Roosevelt PkNORTH-DAKOTA82019
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA82011
Moskee 3WYOMING82025
Ft ThompsonSOUTH-DAKOTA62011
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA62025
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA62021
Flatwillow 2MONTANA52023
LindsayMONTANA52024
Chuffey SpringMONTANA52025
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA52025
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA52025
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA52017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.