Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Raven In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Common Raven in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 22× on the route-weighted index since 1982.
22×Since 1982
51Routes In Region
39Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Raven has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 22× on the route-weighted index since 1982.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Raven in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.57–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.57–1.695% range
±40.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.52 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.54 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 1.6 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| North Easton | NEW-YORK | 9 | 2024 |
| Philadelphia | NEW-YORK | 9 | 2024 |
| Parishville | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Oriskany Fls | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2024 |
| E Youngstown | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2022 |
| Argyle | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2024 |
| Ferris Crnrs | PENNSYLVANIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Branchport | NEW-YORK | 5 | 2024 |
| Cicero Ctr | NEW-YORK | 5 | 2014 |
| Ogdensburg | NEW-YORK | 5 | 2024 |
| Espyville | PENNSYLVANIA | 5 | 1989 |
| Pulaski | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2023 |
| Salem | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2024 |
| Ellenburg | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1989 |
| Colchester | VERMONT | 3 | 2024 |
| Rhinebeck | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| W Shokan | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2019 |
| Catskills | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2010 |
| Ghent | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Trumansburg | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Hamburg | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2016 |
| Willsboro | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Balmat | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2007 |
| Teepleville | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 2024 |
| North Pownal | VERMONT | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.