Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Loon In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
Common Loon in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 188% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+188%Since 1973
8Routes In Region
43Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Loon has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 188% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Common Loon in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 61% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.01–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±105%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-61%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.01–0.1195% range
±105%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| 2026 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| 2027 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| 2028 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
| 2029 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.