BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chipping Sparrow In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Chipping Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+204%Since 1968
259Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Chipping Sparrow has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.7 (95% range 6.1–9.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
7.7Projected 2029 index
6.1–9.395% range
±10.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.35.78.9
20267.45.89.0
20277.55.99.1
20287.66.09.2
20297.76.19.3

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Chipping Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
JacksonNORTH-CAROLINA722017
RheasvilleNORTH-CAROLINA582017
Big SandyTENNESSEE572024
BranchvilleVIRGINIA532024
HumboldtTENNESSEE472024
TupeloMISSISSIPPI462022
RaefordNORTH-CAROLINA462024
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA432024
NewsomsVIRGINIA422024
JamesvilleNORTH-CAROLINA412024
DudleyNORTH-CAROLINA412024
CongletonNORTH-CAROLINA412024
NewvilleVIRGINIA402024
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA382024
SurryVIRGINIA342024
RoseNORTH-CAROLINA332024
PinetopsNORTH-CAROLINA322024
GenoaNORTH-CAROLINA312024
MansfieldTENNESSEE282024
Water ValleyMISSISSIPPI272018
California 2NORTH-CAROLINA272024
KinstonNORTH-CAROLINA252024
PungoVIRGINIA252024
DortchesNORTH-CAROLINA242024
TazewellGEORGIA222024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.