BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Chipping Sparrow In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Chipping Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-69%Since 1971
33Routes In Region
53Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Chipping Sparrow has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 69% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Chipping Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 100% by 2029 — from 0.20 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.00–0.93). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±277.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+100%Change by 2029
0.41Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9395% range
±277.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.400.000.92
20260.400.000.92
20270.410.000.92
20280.410.000.93
20290.410.000.93

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Chipping Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie.
FeltOKLAHOMA112015
Cone MtnCOLORADO102018
ElbertCOLORADO82024
EllicottCOLORADO72016
TimpasCOLORADO62006
CrawfordNEBRASKA52024
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA52023
GilpinCOLORADO42023
AgateNEBRASKA41990
LingleWYOMING41985
CheyenneWYOMING42011
Pine BluffWYOMING41998
KiowaCOLORADO22005
VillegreenCOLORADO22023
ChugwaterWYOMING22024
Wildhorse LCOLORADO11999
Adams Co.COLORADO12015
TrincheraCOLORADO12022
Kiowa 2COLORADO12023
NinaviewCOLORADO12024
ArsenalCOLORADO12010
PaxtonNEBRASKA12015
BereaNEBRASKA12012
FarleyNEW-MEXICO12024
Wagon MoundNEW-MEXICO11976

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.