BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cave Swallow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Cave Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

-35%Since 1994
10Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Cave Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Cave Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 925% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.06–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±379.1%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+925%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.06–2.795% range
±379.1%Backtest error
19852029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.30.002.6
20261.30.002.6
20271.30.002.6
20281.30.032.7
20291.40.062.7

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Cave Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
CoopertonOKLAHOMA182023
HackberryTEXAS142017
MertzonTEXAS132019
SilverTEXAS122022
Shields 2TEXAS82023
Pear ValleyTEXAS52024
WinchellTEXAS42024
GraybackTEXAS22022
EldoradoTEXAS12000
HaskellTEXAS11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.