Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Cassin's Vireo In Coastal California
Cassin's Vireo in Coastal California has surged: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+155%Since 1970
60Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Cassin's Vireo has surged in Coastal California: up 155% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Cassin's Vireo in Coastal California is projected to rise about 170% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.92 (95% range 0.37–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+170%Change by 2029
0.92Projected 2029 index
0.37–1.595% range
±125.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.89 | 0.34 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.90 | 0.35 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.91 | 0.36 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.91 | 0.36 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.92 | 0.37 | 1.5 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Stonyford | CALIFORNIA | 20 | 2018 |
| Bartlett Sps | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2018 |
| Hough Springs | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2007 |
| Calpella | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 1986 |
| Cohasset | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Glen Ellen | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2004 |
| Glen Ellen 2 | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2023 |
| Sisquoc | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2000 |
| Tehama | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2022 |
| Moraga | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2011 |
| Waterman Gap | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| White River | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1991 |
| Gold Hill | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2017 |
| Mark West | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Tomhead | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2011 |
| Santa Ynez | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2014 |
| Jackson | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1992 |
| Lake Hemet 2 | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Angelus Oaks | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Poloma | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2016 |
| Alamar | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2003 |
| Red Bluff | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Rumsey | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2007 |
| Yokohl Val | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1993 |
| Foster Park | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1986 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.