BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Carolina Wren In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Carolina Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 368% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+368%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Carolina Wren has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 368% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Carolina Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 34 (95% range 26–42). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029
34Projected 2029 index
26–4295% range
±33.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025322440
2026322440
2027332541
2028332541
2029342642

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Carolina Wren in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA1212024
KraemerLOUISIANA1152024
RamahLOUISIANA962024
ShawLOUISIANA702024
RoselandLOUISIANA672024
Rayville 2LOUISIANA502024
MayflowerLOUISIANA462024
CarlisleLOUISIANA411988
BerwickLOUISIANA402018
ConcordLOUISIANA392019
River RoadLOUISIANA382024
FrogmoreLOUISIANA372024
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS362024
GonzalesLOUISIANA352019
Baton RougeLOUISIANA352024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI352024
BrousvilleLOUISIANA332024
SaffellARKANSAS322019
LaroseLOUISIANA321992
South BendARKANSAS292023
Morgan CityLOUISIANA292022
TippoMISSISSIPPI292024
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI282021
Augusta 2ARKANSAS272016
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI272024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.