BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canyon Wren In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauForest birds

Canyon Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-88%Since 1970
94Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Canyon Wren has collapsed in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canyon Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 69% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±343.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+69%Change by 2029
0.14Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4195% range
±343.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.150.000.42
20260.150.000.41
20270.150.000.41
20280.150.000.41
20290.140.000.41

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording Canyon Wren in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
AltonahUTAH121969
CastletonUTAH51985
RosevaleCOLORADO42023
Baxter PassCOLORADO42024
Cheesman LkCOLORADO32010
Wilson CreekCOLORADO32018
BicknellUTAH31999
BufordCOLORADO22013
Dolores RivCOLORADO21991
WestcliffeCOLORADO22010
Angel Fire 2NEW-MEXICO22017
NotomUTAH21991
Cane Spr DesUTAH22011
House RockARIZONA11999
The GapARIZONA11968
HuntARIZONA11986
ToroweapARIZONA12016
PageARIZONA12009
Navajo TrailARIZONA12005
Peach SpringARIZONA12018
SeligmanARIZONA12018
HarmonyCOLORADO12019
Douglas PassCOLORADO12019
DeltaCOLORADO12017
DoloresCOLORADO11984

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.