Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Warbler In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Canada Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has collapsed: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-90%Since 1968
34Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Canada Warbler has collapsed in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Canada Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±241.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.000.0995% range
±241.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.09
20260.000.000.09
20270.000.000.09
20280.000.000.09
20290.000.000.09

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Canada Warbler in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
WarrenCONNECTICUT42011
BuckinghamCONNECTICUT31972
PrincetonMASSACHUSETTS21976
EpsomNEW-HAMPSHIRE22008
HuntingtonNEW-YORK21995
MysticCONNECTICUT11983
E HartlandCONNECTICUT11990
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT11977
WoodstockCONNECTICUT12004
WillimanticCONNECTICUT12000
No WoodburyCONNECTICUT11985
ShermanCONNECTICUT12008
DanburyCONNECTICUT11972
Long HillCONNECTICUT11982
Mid HaddamCONNECTICUT12014
GranbyCONNECTICUT12023
Kittery PtMAINE12019
MarionMASSACHUSETTS11992
NewburyportMASSACHUSETTS11968
BelchertownMASSACHUSETTS12024
WarrenMASSACHUSETTS11998
S BarreMASSACHUSETTS12005
HoldenMASSACHUSETTS11983
Ware RiverMASSACHUSETTS12022
BrentwoodNEW-HAMPSHIRE11990

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.