Species · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

California Thrasher

MimidaeArid-land birdsToxostoma redivivum

California Thrasher has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-8%Since 1970
115Routes
56Years Surveyed

About the California Thrasher

The California Thrasher (Toxostoma redivivum) is a North American member of the Mockingbirds & Thrashers (Mimidae). In this analysis it is grouped with the arid-land birds.

Size
8–12 in long (20–30 cm) — a slender, long-tailed songbird (typical for the family)
Habitat
Deserts, dry scrub and brushland of the Southwest.
Diet
Seeds, insects and cactus fruit of arid-land plants.
Range
Recorded on 115 Breeding Bird Survey routes across 1 state, most concentrated in the Coastal California.
Family
Mimidae · Arid-land birds

Notable California Thrasher Trends

No notable trend signals for California Thrasher. See the full index history below.

California Thrasher Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, California Thrasher is projected to fall about 76% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-76%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.000.0995% range
±75.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.000.10
20260.020.000.10
20270.020.000.10
20280.020.000.09
20290.020.000.09

Where the California Thrasher Is Detected

BBS routes recording California Thrasher, sized by most recent count.

California Thrasher Population Trend by State

California Thrasher population trend by state.
California-4%1970115

California Thrasher Population Trend by Region

Bird Conservation Regions are the ecological unit for trends.

California Thrasher population trend by Bird Conservation Region.
Northern Pacific Rainforest-90%19719
Great Basin-4%19953
Sierra Nevada-88%197313
Coastal California+15%197084
Sonoran and Mojave Deserts-29%19716

California Thrasher Conservation Status

Our route-weighted index shows it down about 8% since 1970.

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22. Trend is a route-weighted relative-abundance index, not an absolute population.