Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
California Scrub-Jay In Great Basin
California Scrub-Jay in Great Basin has increased: up 38% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
+38%Since 1972
27Routes In Region
54Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for California Scrub-Jay in Great Basin. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, California Scrub-Jay in Great Basin is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.15–0.85). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±109.5%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+79%Change by 2029
0.50Projected 2029 index
0.15–0.8595% range
±109.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.86 |
| 2026 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.86 |
| 2027 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.86 |
| 2028 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
| 2029 | 0.50 | 0.15 | 0.85 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Iron Gate | CALIFORNIA | 30 | 2019 |
| Snowden | WASHINGTON | 15 | 2024 |
| Mt Hood | OREGON | 10 | 2024 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2011 |
| Modoc Point | OREGON | 8 | 2018 |
| Nubieber | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2018 |
| Tionesta | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2021 |
| Barnes Val | OREGON | 6 | 1972 |
| Macdoel | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2019 |
| Deschutes | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Madeline | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Modoc Point 2 | OREGON | 3 | 2024 |
| Ingalls | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2001 |
| Ravendale | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Clear Lk Res | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | NEVADA | 2 | 2016 |
| Comins Lake | NEVADA | 2 | 2016 |
| Likely | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Davis Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Dorris | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Cedarville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Fandango Can | OREGON | 1 | 2024 |
| Bly | OREGON | 1 | 1988 |
| Merrill | OREGON | 1 | 2012 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.