Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
California Gull In Sierra Nevada
California Gull in Sierra Nevada has collapsed: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-98%Since 1974
10Routes In Region
39Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
California Gull has collapsed in Sierra Nevada: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, California Gull in Sierra Nevada is projected to stay roughly flat through 2022, near 1.1 (95% range 0.00–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3795.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2022
1.1Projected 2022 index
0.00–3.895% range
±3795.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 2019 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 2020 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 2021 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 2022 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Goumaz | CALIFORNIA | 80 | 2004 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 1979 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1983 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1992 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2014 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1976 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2017 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Crestview | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2004 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.