Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Burrowing Owl In Coastal California
Burrowing Owl in Coastal California has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-94%Since 1970
35Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Burrowing Owl has collapsed in Coastal California: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Burrowing Owl in Coastal California is projected to fall about 100% by 2024 — from 0.14 in 2019 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.78). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±133.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2024
0.00Projected 2024 index
0.00–0.7895% range
±133.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2021 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2022 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Mesa Grande | CALIFORNIA | 16 | 2002 |
| Oilfields | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 1981 |
| Tranquillity | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2004 |
| Buena Vista | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2019 |
| Hollister | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2007 |
| Atwater | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2007 |
| Caruthers | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1986 |
| Bakersfield | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2004 |
| Moreno | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2012 |
| San Ysidro | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1976 |
| Ventucopa | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1972 |
| Shafter | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1989 |
| Arvin | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2016 |
| Hollister 2 | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2012 |
| Riovista | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| Collegeville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2004 |
| Hughson | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1987 |
| Orland | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2001 |
| Athlone | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1989 |
| Pennington | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1978 |
| Cohasset | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1984 |
| Poway | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1974 |
| S Catalina | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1993 |
| Maricopa | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1996 |
| Anza | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1972 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.