Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bullock's Oriole In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Bullock's Oriole in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+101%Since 1970
149Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bullock's Oriole has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bullock's Oriole in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.97 (95% range 0.08–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-19%Change by 2029
0.97Projected 2029 index
0.08–1.995% range
±13%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.11 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 1.9 |
| 2027 | 0.99 | 0.10 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 0.98 | 0.09 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 0.97 | 0.08 | 1.9 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Dolores | COLORADO | 26 | 1987 |
| Cortez | COLORADO | 17 | 2008 |
| Falfa | COLORADO | 13 | 2024 |
| Douglas Pass | COLORADO | 12 | 2024 |
| Walsenburg | COLORADO | 12 | 2024 |
| Cortez 2 | COLORADO | 12 | 2017 |
| Aztec | NEW-MEXICO | 11 | 1989 |
| Yampa | COLORADO | 10 | 2023 |
| Kamas | UTAH | 10 | 2024 |
| Harmony | COLORADO | 9 | 2024 |
| Cokedale | COLORADO | 8 | 2024 |
| La Plata | NEW-MEXICO | 8 | 2013 |
| Moab | UTAH | 8 | 2024 |
| Fruita | COLORADO | 7 | 2007 |
| De Beque | COLORADO | 7 | 2024 |
| Wellington 3 | UTAH | 7 | 2024 |
| Yellowjacket Pass | COLORADO | 5 | 2024 |
| Ojo Sarco | NEW-MEXICO | 5 | 2024 |
| La Plata 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 5 | 2016 |
| Castleton | UTAH | 5 | 1985 |
| Buford | COLORADO | 4 | 2024 |
| Castleton | COLORADO | 4 | 2023 |
| Flattops | COLORADO | 4 | 2014 |
| Ludlow | COLORADO | 4 | 2016 |
| Hanna | UTAH | 4 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.