BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown-headed Nuthatch In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Brown-headed Nuthatch in Southeastern Coastal Plain has risen sharply: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+68%Since 1968
301Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Brown-headed Nuthatch has risen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.8 (95% range 2.2–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2029
2.8Projected 2029 index
2.2–3.495% range
±7.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.72.13.4
20262.82.13.4
20272.82.13.4
20282.82.23.4
20292.82.23.4

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Brown-headed Nuthatch in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
OsceolaFLORIDA422024
South. PinesNORTH-CAROLINA301996
Broad CreekNORTH-CAROLINA252024
OlusteeFLORIDA242022
Sheep RidgeNORTH-CAROLINA242024
BloxhamFLORIDA222022
Myrtle GroveNORTH-CAROLINA212024
ApalachicolaFLORIDA202024
MontagueNORTH-CAROLINA162024
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA162024
Lake MaryMISSISSIPPI151990
Green SwampNORTH-CAROLINA142006
WorkmoreGEORGIA132019
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA132024
Latimer 2MISSISSIPPI122023
ShallotteNORTH-CAROLINA121991
RaefordNORTH-CAROLINA122024
CottontonALABAMA112024
Alligator PtFLORIDA112024
LacombeLOUISIANA111983
BranchvilleVIRGINIA112024
Warrior StdALABAMA102024
SupplyNORTH-CAROLINA102024
California 2NORTH-CAROLINA102024
Cypress CrNORTH-CAROLINA102022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.