Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Nuthatch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Brown-headed Nuthatch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged down: down 14% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-14%Since 1969
96Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Brown-headed Nuthatch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Nuthatch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.88 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.73 (95% range 0.05–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.73Projected 2029 index
0.05–1.495% range
±18%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.77 | 0.09 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.76 | 0.08 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.75 | 0.07 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.74 | 0.06 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.73 | 0.05 | 1.4 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Four Lakes | ARKANSAS | 10 | 2001 |
| Many | LOUISIANA | 9 | 1992 |
| Hargis | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2011 |
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2014 |
| Ramsey | ARKANSAS | 6 | 1995 |
| Carterville | LOUISIANA | 6 | 1992 |
| New Waverly | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Powell Park | TEXAS | 6 | 2021 |
| Fishville 2 | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Burr Ferry | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Princeton | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2014 |
| Derry | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1989 |
| Fort Polk | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1975 |
| Clay | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Derry 2 | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Ivan | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2013 |
| Evelyn | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Hargis 2 | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2014 |
| Lake Cove | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2017 |
| Town Bluff | TEXAS | 4 | 2010 |
| Mt. Selman | TEXAS | 4 | 2021 |
| Blakely | ARKANSAS | 3 | 1996 |
| Sims | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2019 |
| De Ridder | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.