Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown-headed Cowbird In Badlands and Prairies
Brown-headed Cowbird in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 82% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+82%Since 1969
138Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Brown-headed Cowbird has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 82% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Brown-headed Cowbird in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 39 (95% range 28–51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+31%Change by 2029
39Projected 2029 index
28–5195% range
±32.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38 | 26 | 50 |
| 2026 | 38 | 27 | 50 |
| 2027 | 39 | 27 | 51 |
| 2028 | 39 | 27 | 51 |
| 2029 | 39 | 28 | 51 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Ft Thompson | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 194 | 2011 |
| Bentley | NORTH-DAKOTA | 167 | 2024 |
| Ft Yates | NORTH-DAKOTA | 162 | 2004 |
| Maurine | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 160 | 2024 |
| Promise | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 154 | 2015 |
| Rosebud | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 118 | 2011 |
| Carson | NORTH-DAKOTA | 115 | 2024 |
| Gorham | NORTH-DAKOTA | 111 | 2018 |
| Cedar Creek | NORTH-DAKOTA | 90 | 2022 |
| Dickinson | NORTH-DAKOTA | 87 | 2024 |
| Solen | NORTH-DAKOTA | 83 | 2024 |
| Isabel | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 83 | 2015 |
| Zap | NORTH-DAKOTA | 77 | 2024 |
| Owanka | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 75 | 2022 |
| Glen Ullin | NORTH-DAKOTA | 71 | 2022 |
| Ottumwa | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 68 | 2022 |
| Eagle Butte | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 67 | 2015 |
| Powderville | MONTANA | 66 | 2024 |
| Albion | MONTANA | 65 | 2024 |
| Crookston | NEBRASKA | 64 | 2024 |
| Marcus | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 62 | 2015 |
| Fort Pierre | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 61 | 2024 |
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 59 | 2011 |
| Volunteer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 59 | 2019 |
| Railroad Butte | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 59 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.