Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brown Creeper In Sierra Nevada
Brown Creeper in Sierra Nevada has surged: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+137%Since 1970
39Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Brown Creeper has surged in Sierra Nevada: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Brown Creeper in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 27% by 2029 — from 5.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.1 (95% range 1.4–6.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-27%Change by 2029
4.1Projected 2029 index
1.4–6.995% range
±29.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6.8 |
| 2026 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6.8 |
| 2027 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6.8 |
| 2028 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Lumberyard | CALIFORNIA | 20 | 2024 |
| Westville | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Last Chance | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2019 |
| Lassen Park | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 1989 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 12 | 2008 |
| Placerville | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Butte Meadow | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2014 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Coulterville | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2019 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2023 |
| Tahoe Nf | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 1994 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2018 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2016 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Chester | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2017 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.