BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Brown Creeper In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Brown Creeper in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 348% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+348%Since 1968
45Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Brown Creeper has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 348% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Brown Creeper in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.02–0.24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±224.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.2495% range
±224.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.130.020.24
20260.130.020.24
20270.130.020.24
20280.130.020.24
20290.130.020.24

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Brown Creeper in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
W ShokanNEW-YORK42018
Grand IsleVERMONT41985
PulaskiNEW-YORK32024
CatskillsNEW-YORK22010
MendonNEW-YORK22004
N Victory 2NEW-YORK22010
WillsboroNEW-YORK22024
BalmatNEW-YORK21997
CrescentNEW-YORK22000
RhinebeckNEW-YORK12018
HighlandNEW-YORK12009
AusterlitzNEW-YORK12024
GhentNEW-YORK11990
DuanesburgNEW-YORK12009
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK12024
CayugaNEW-YORK11973
TrumansburgNEW-YORK12007
OrleansNEW-YORK11972
BranchportNEW-YORK12004
Canadice LNEW-YORK12021
Mt MorrisNEW-YORK11998
HamburgNEW-YORK12010
RandolphNEW-YORK12003
SheridanNEW-YORK11988
Cherry HillNEW-YORK11976

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.