BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Broad-winged Hawk In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Broad-winged Hawk in Oaks and Prairies has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+30%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
19Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
53YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Broad-winged Hawk in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Broad-winged Hawk In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Broad-winged Hawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.06Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±15.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Broad-winged Hawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.060.000.14
20260.060.000.14
20270.060.000.14
20280.060.000.14
20290.060.000.14

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Broad-winged Hawk in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA22022
HeyburnOKLAHOMA22024
DuncanOKLAHOMA22022
SkiatookOKLAHOMA22018
SadlerTEXAS22023
Thornton 2TEXAS22002
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12017
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA11987
BeggsOKLAHOMA11984
ChoctawOKLAHOMA11991
NobleOKLAHOMA12021
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12000
TatumsOKLAHOMA12023
Peach CreekTEXAS11976
ThorntonTEXAS11973
WeatherfordTEXAS12024
GainesvilleTEXAS12007
YoakumTEXAS12004
PaigeTEXAS12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.