Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Brewer's Sparrow In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Brewer's Sparrow in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
-60%Since 1978
3Routes In Region
34Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Brewer's Sparrow has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 60% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Brewer's Sparrow in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 57% by 2024 — from 0.05 in 2019 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-57%Change by 2024
0.02Projected 2024 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±57%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2021 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2022 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2023 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2024 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.