BirdAnalyst
Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bluethroat Population Trend in Alaska

All statesGeneralists

Bluethroat in Alaska has surged: up 328% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+328%Since 1995
7Routes In State
24Years

Notable Bluethroat Trends in Alaska

long arc increasecomputed index

Bluethroat has surged in Alaska: up 328% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Bluethroat Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Bluethroat in Alaska is projected to fall about 33% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±124.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-33%Change by 2029
0.07Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1895% range
±124.7%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.000.18
20260.070.000.18
20270.070.000.18
20280.070.000.18
20290.070.000.18

Bluethroat Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Bluethroat in Alaska.
Red Dog320241997
Nome220231997
Teller220151997
Galbraith L.220241998
Happy Valley220241996
Salmon Lake120191993
Council120181993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.