BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+103%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 103% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 7.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.9 (95% range 6.1–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029
8.9Projected 2029 index
6.1–1295% range
±8.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.75.911
20268.76.011
20278.86.012
20288.96.112
20298.96.112

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
CartervilleLOUISIANA271992
Old MiloARKANSAS252014
Mount UnionLOUISIANA222024
WomackLOUISIANA212024
IvanLOUISIANA212013
LinvilleLOUISIANA182024
NanceARKANSAS172024
Four LakesARKANSAS172001
ClayLOUISIANA172024
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA172021
Magazine MtnARKANSAS162021
Ivan 2LOUISIANA162016
GoodwillLOUISIANA162024
MatoyOKLAHOMA152000
MarionLOUISIANA141996
SandbluffOKLAHOMA141995
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA142023
LockesburgARKANSAS132019
BlakelyARKANSAS121999
HavanaARKANSAS122021
CheniereLOUISIANA122024
MortonTEXAS122024
CrossroadsTEXAS122024
RamseyARKANSAS111997
AshdownARKANSAS112023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.