BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 165% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+165%Since 1969
69Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 165% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 34% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.1–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+34%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
3.1–7.595% range
±57.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.02.87.2
20265.12.97.3
20275.22.97.4
20285.23.07.5
20295.33.17.5

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Oaks and Prairies.
HeyburnOKLAHOMA312024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA242024
DecaturTEXAS182024
TatumsOKLAHOMA152024
GauseTEXAS111997
ChoctawOKLAHOMA102023
RhomeTEXAS102024
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA81976
SkiatookOKLAHOMA82019
NobleOKLAHOMA72024
SeldenTEXAS72024
CayugaTEXAS72024
Massey LakeTEXAS62023
CarlosTEXAS62024
Wills PointTEXAS62023
DuncanOKLAHOMA52024
Glen RoseTEXAS52024
CottonwoodTEXAS52024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS52024
Thornton 3TEXAS52024
YoakumTEXAS52024
BonnerTEXAS52023
Gambill Ref.TEXAS52024
GrafordTEXAS42016
AlbanyTEXAS42022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.