BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+3%Since 1968
56Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 82% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.27 (95% range 0.04–0.49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+82%Change by 2029
0.27Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.4995% range
±86.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.260.030.49
20260.260.040.49
20270.260.040.49
20280.260.040.49
20290.270.040.49

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Blue-gray Gnatcatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
W ShokanNEW-YORK52019
Harris HillNEW-YORK52005
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK42019
ClintonNEW-YORK41993
Valley CityOHIO32024
CatskillsNEW-YORK22015
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK22022
CayugaNEW-YORK22023
E YoungstownNEW-YORK22016
ByronNEW-YORK21989
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK22000
North EastonNEW-YORK22023
PittsfieldOHIO22022
Herner CrnsOHIO22016
HiramOHIO22018
EspyvillePENNSYLVANIA22017
Ferris CrnrsPENNSYLVANIA22024
ShaftsburyVERMONT22005
RhinebeckNEW-YORK12024
HighlandNEW-YORK12006
AusterlitzNEW-YORK11974
GhentNEW-YORK12023
DuanesburgNEW-YORK12023
RomulusNEW-YORK11986
MacdougallNEW-YORK12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.