BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Vulture In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Black Vulture in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 691% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+691%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Vulture has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 691% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Vulture in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.57 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.46 (95% range 0.28–0.65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
0.46Projected 2029 index
0.28–0.6595% range
±32.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.430.240.61
20260.440.250.62
20270.450.260.63
20280.460.270.64
20290.460.280.65

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Black Vulture in Appalachian Mountains.
StevensonALABAMA192024
GreensportALABAMA162024
WilliamsportMARYLAND162024
Star TanneryVIRGINIA132023
LandisburgPENNSYLVANIA102017
BlacksburgVIRGINIA102019
Mohican S.F.OHIO92022
Drehersville 2PENNSYLVANIA72021
SmootWEST-VIRGINIA72019
Bolins MillsOHIO62024
Jones GapTENNESSEE62019
SaltvilleVIRGINIA62024
DrummondALABAMA52024
SunnybrookKENTUCKY52019
SturgillsNORTH-CAROLINA52024
OmegaOHIO52024
Jefferson CtyTENNESSEE52011
JeromeVIRGINIA52023
BrooksvilleALABAMA42023
SmithsburgMARYLAND42012
WestbrookvleNEW-YORK42018
RydePENNSYLVANIA42003
Peru MillsPENNSYLVANIA42017
DoylesburgPENNSYLVANIA42023
BerwickPENNSYLVANIA42022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.