Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bewick's Wren In Gulf Coastal Prairie
Bewick's Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 226% on the route-weighted index since 1991.
+226%Since 1991
10Routes In Region
35Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bewick's Wren has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 226% on the route-weighted index since 1991.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bewick's Wren in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 119% by 2029 — from 0.43 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.94 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±212.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+119%Change by 2029
0.94Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.395% range
±212.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2028 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie
| Loyola Beach | TEXAS | 5 | 2009 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Lag Atascosa | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Mcfaddin | TEXAS | 3 | 2016 |
| L. Atascosa Nwr | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Goliad Prairie | TEXAS | 2 | 2016 |
| Petronila | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
| Indianola | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
| Rock Island | TEXAS | 1 | 2013 |
| San Pedro | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.