Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bewick's Wren In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
Bewick's Wren in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has risen sharply: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+68%Since 1970
46Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bewick's Wren has risen sharply in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: up 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bewick's Wren in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.66–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+15%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.66–2.795% range
±63.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.60 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 0.62 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.63 | 2.6 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.64 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 1.7 | 0.66 | 2.7 |
Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts
| Wikieup | ARIZONA | 35 | 2019 |
| Pearblossom | CALIFORNIA | 12 | 2024 |
| Joshua Tree | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2000 |
| Kelso Valley | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Onyx | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2001 |
| Willow Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 1981 |
| Lone Pine | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Cutter 2 | ARIZONA | 7 | 2018 |
| Ash Meadows | NEVADA | 6 | 2024 |
| Dateland | ARIZONA | 4 | 2016 |
| Anza Borrego | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Ivanpah | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2019 |
| Cima | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2013 |
| Florence | ARIZONA | 3 | 1988 |
| Darwin | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1998 |
| Coachella Cn | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2013 |
| Squaw Peak | ARIZONA | 2 | 1968 |
| New River | ARIZONA | 2 | 2009 |
| Alamo Res. | ARIZONA | 2 | 2023 |
| Red Rock | ARIZONA | 2 | 2001 |
| Cactus Forest | ARIZONA | 2 | 2023 |
| Valley Wells | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2015 |
| Beatty | NEVADA | 2 | 2024 |
| Jean Lake | NEVADA | 2 | 2013 |
| Oatman | ARIZONA | 1 | 2006 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.