Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bewick's Wren In Sierra Nevada
Bewick's Wren in Sierra Nevada has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-72%Since 1970
33Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Bewick's Wren has fallen sharply in Sierra Nevada: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bewick's Wren in Sierra Nevada is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.78 (95% range 0.00–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±80.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+65%Change by 2029
0.78Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.495% range
±80.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 2.5 |
| 2028 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Silver City | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2013 |
| Cottage Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 1974 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2018 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Chester | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2017 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Lumberyard | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1994 |
| Butte Meadow | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2012 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Forest Hill | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2022 |
| Lassen Park | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1986 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Westville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1985 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Greenhorn Mt | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2008 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2017 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2006 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.