Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bell's Vireo In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Bell's Vireo in Tamaulipan Brushlands has collapsed: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-76%Since 1969
23Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Bell's Vireo has collapsed in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bell's Vireo in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 82% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.31 (95% range 0.00–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±153.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-82%Change by 2029
0.31Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.495% range
±153.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
| 2028 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
| 2029 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 14 | 2009 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 10 | 2007 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 7 | 2010 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 5 | 2010 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 5 | 2016 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 3 | 2013 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 2 | 1996 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 2 | 2021 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 1 | 1981 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 1 | 1971 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 2014 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 1 | 1979 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.