BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bell's Vireo In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

Bell's Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-88%Since 1969
25Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Bell's Vireo has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Bell's Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 79% by 2029 — from 0.26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.83). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-79%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8395% range
±53.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.88
20260.090.000.87
20270.080.000.86
20280.070.000.84
20290.050.000.83

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Bell's Vireo in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
BlancoOKLAHOMA132016
IndianolaOKLAHOMA102024
MatoyOKLAHOMA82000
Coal HillARKANSAS32012
Poyen 2ARKANSAS32015
McalesterOKLAHOMA31991
StampsARKANSAS21971
AshdownARKANSAS21995
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS22024
PhillipsOKLAHOMA22008
SandbluffOKLAHOMA21993
Locust BayouARKANSAS12008
HopeARKANSAS12022
CrowsARKANSAS11971
StarkARKANSAS12000
MassardARKANSAS12018
SimsARKANSAS12011
Big CedarOKLAHOMA11996
CanadianOKLAHOMA12016
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA12021
BethelOKLAHOMA12024
PocolaOKLAHOMA12016
AthensTEXAS11992
ChandlerTEXAS11995
SmyrnaTEXAS11999

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.