BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+100%Since 1969
74Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Barn Swallow has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 18 (95% range 8.4–27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
8.4–2795% range
±48.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025188.327
2026188.327
2027188.427
2028188.427
2029188.427

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Oaks and Prairies.
OakwoodTEXAS931995
RhomeTEXAS622024
Oak GroveTEXAS551999
DallasTEXAS552024
Miller GroveTEXAS542024
Thornton 2TEXAS492010
Gambill Ref.TEXAS472024
HobsonTEXAS412024
CarlosTEXAS372024
WalburgTEXAS362024
ThorntonTEXAS341984
CayugaTEXAS312024
Mount ZionTEXAS262024
GauseTEXAS241997
Massey LakeTEXAS242024
GrafordTEXAS232019
Wolfe CityTEXAS231987
BriteTEXAS212024
DuranTEXAS211999
CleburneTEXAS212024
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA201977
GainesvilleTEXAS192024
HenriettaTEXAS192022
CreedmoreTEXAS192014
Glen RoseTEXAS162024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.