BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Badlands and Prairies has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-9%Since 1969
136Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Barn Swallow in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 4.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.5 (95% range 1.8–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+40%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
1.8–1195% range
±21.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.92.112
20266.82.112
20276.72.011
20286.61.911
20296.51.811

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Badlands and Prairies.
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA1342015
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA1272015
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA1182015
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA542023
WinifredMONTANA372023
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA352011
LaplantSOUTH-DAKOTA352015
DwyerWYOMING352019
St Xavier 2MONTANA272023
RockyfordSOUTH-DAKOTA252023
Ft ThompsonSOUTH-DAKOTA242011
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA242023
Dinosaurs H.M.MONTANA212024
OwankaSOUTH-DAKOTA202022
CrookstonNEBRASKA172024
NatronaWYOMING171992
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA152018
Cedar CreekNORTH-DAKOTA152022
HardingSOUTH-DAKOTA152019
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA152023
LuskWYOMING152024
Coleman CouleeMONTANA142023
ClarkelenWYOMING141978
UptonWYOMING142024
KayceeWYOMING142024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.