Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bald Eagle In Coastal California
Bald Eagle in Coastal California has surged: up 567% on the route-weighted index since 2006.
+567%Since 2006
23Routes In Region
19Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bald Eagle has surged in Coastal California: up 567% on the route-weighted index since 2006.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bald Eagle in Coastal California is projected to fall about 50% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.02–0.15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-50%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.02–0.1595% range
±62.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| 2027 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
| 2028 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Lake Berryessa | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Red Bluff | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| S Catalina | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2013 |
| Adelaida | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Creston | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2019 |
| Oroville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2012 |
| Poloma | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Rumsey | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2007 |
| Hughson | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Moreno | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1973 |
| Coalinga | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Point Reyes | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Cuyamaca Pk | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Glenn | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Westley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2017 |
| Lockwood | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Yolla Bolly | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Coyote | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2019 |
| Copperopolis | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Oneals | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Greenfield | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Lake Hemet 2 | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Hollister 2 | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.