Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bachman's Sparrow In Southeastern Coastal Plain
Bachman's Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain has held roughly steady: down 6% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-6%Since 1968
165Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Bachman's Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bachman's Sparrow in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 0.77 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.61 (95% range 0.01–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
0.61Projected 2029 index
0.01–1.295% range
±30.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.64 | 0.04 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.63 | 0.03 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.61 | 0.01 | 1.2 |
Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain
| Diberville | MISSISSIPPI | 31 | 1987 |
| Blackwater | FLORIDA | 28 | 2024 |
| Bloxham | FLORIDA | 14 | 2022 |
| Belmont | FLORIDA | 11 | 2005 |
| Olustee | FLORIDA | 11 | 2022 |
| Needmore | GEORGIA | 10 | 1983 |
| Weber | GEORGIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Nixon | FLORIDA | 9 | 1986 |
| Bristol | FLORIDA | 9 | 2023 |
| Boston | GEORGIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Sandhills | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 9 | 2024 |
| Grangeburg | ALABAMA | 8 | 1995 |
| Carrollton | ALABAMA | 8 | 1993 |
| Eglin A.F.B. | FLORIDA | 8 | 2011 |
| Oak Grove | FLORIDA | 7 | 2011 |
| Hilliard | FLORIDA | 7 | 2024 |
| Alligator Pt | FLORIDA | 7 | 2024 |
| Philema | GEORGIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Pearl River | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2008 |
| Broad Creek | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2024 |
| Dowling Park | FLORIDA | 6 | 2023 |
| Newton | GEORGIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Lacombe | LOUISIANA | 6 | 1983 |
| Guyton | GEORGIA | 5 | 1989 |
| Glenmore | GEORGIA | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.