BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Woodcock Population Trend in New York

All statesShorebirds

American Woodcock in New York has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-46%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
50YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable American Woodcock Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Woodcock in New York. See the full index history below.

American Woodcock Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2027TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2027 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±82.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20230.010.000.10
20240.010.000.10
20250.010.000.10
20260.010.000.09
20270.010.000.09

American Woodcock Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording American Woodcock in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Rhinebeck419701970
Hopkinton420182015
Nashville319861967
Romulus219741974
Newcomb219861981
Wanakena220081983
Milford219811981
Manorville119691969
Jones Beach119721972
Bedford119771969
Somers119771977
Middletown119751975
Rifton119721972
Petersburg120101978
Durham119731973
Meridale119931991
Duanesburg119981998
S Berne119761976
Laurens119981969
Whitney Pt120142010
Mcdonough120011967
Oxford119701970
Horseshoe L.119941994
Swain119841969
Orleans119681968

American Woodcock Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansasconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.