BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Woodcock In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastShorebirds

American Woodcock in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-81%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
57Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
42YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Woodcock has collapsed in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Woodcock In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±149.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2026TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2026 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±149.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2026, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.06). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±149.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662026
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20220.000.000.06
20230.000.000.06
20240.000.000.06
20250.000.000.06
20260.000.000.06

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording American Woodcock in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
N OxfordMASSACHUSETTS51973
MardelaMARYLAND31984
HolleyvilleDELAWARE21980
Gay HeadMASSACHUSETTS21996
MysticCONNECTICUT11981
UncasvilleCONNECTICUT11989
WillimanticCONNECTICUT12005
DanburyCONNECTICUT11972
WarrenCONNECTICUT12001
Long HillCONNECTICUT11980
Mid HaddamCONNECTICUT11995
SouthingtonCONNECTICUT12021
HarringtonDELAWARE11970
FredericaDELAWARE11967
Lowes XrdsDELAWARE11966
PepperboxDELAWARE12003
GeorgetownDELAWARE11997
Cape NeddickMAINE11995
JonesMARYLAND11971
BeltsvilleMARYLAND11979
Tall TimbersMARYLAND11976
PomonkeyMARYLAND11966
PomfretMARYLAND11977
NortheastMARYLAND11985
MelitotaMARYLAND11991

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.