BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Woodcock In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsShorebirds

American Woodcock in Central Hardwoods has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-39%Since 1975TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
37Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
30YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Woodcock in Central Hardwoods. See the full index history below.

American Woodcock In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2021, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2021TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2021 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Woodcock in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2021, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.03). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19712021
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20170.010.000.03
20180.010.000.03
20190.010.000.03
20200.010.000.03
20210.010.000.03

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording American Woodcock in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DrakesboroKENTUCKY31983
DelwoodILLINOIS22001
PimentoINDIANA21985
HillsboroALABAMA11991
Valhermoso SpgsALABAMA12002
FultonARKANSAS11981
BirdsILLINOIS11981
BelknapILLINOIS11971
Beaverdam LkILLINOIS12004
SanduskyILLINOIS11995
Cave In RockILLINOIS12001
KarnakILLINOIS12009
AzaliaINDIANA11983
CumbackINDIANA11991
MillersburgINDIANA12014
Indian SpgsINDIANA12016
CantonKENTUCKY11991
KeysburgKENTUCKY11977
GatewoodKENTUCKY11995
BoxvilleKENTUCKY11982
DixieKENTUCKY11973
Buena VistaKENTUCKY11987
East UnionKENTUCKY11984
ApexKENTUCKY12008
PleasurevillKENTUCKY11989

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.