BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinGeneralists

American Kestrel in Great Basin has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+1%Since 1970
237Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Great Basin. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.5 (95% range 0.66–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.66–2.395% range
±36.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.702.3
20261.50.692.3
20271.50.682.3
20281.50.672.3
20291.50.662.3

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording American Kestrel in Great Basin.
OrdnanceOREGON131979
UmatillaOREGON122023
PocatelloIDAHO112019
Walker CanNEVADA112024
Carson RiverNEVADA102005
Cedar HillIDAHO92024
NixonNEVADA92024
OthelloWASHINGTON91991
NighthawkWASHINGTON92024
HarwoodWASHINGTON91997
BuchananOREGON82024
PendletonOREGON82024
CraneOREGON82005
Catlow RimOREGON82024
Scootney ReservoirWASHINGTON82024
RirieIDAHO72023
MizpahNEVADA72024
Toiyabe NfNEVADA72024
DeschutesOREGON72024
Harney LakeOREGON72006
PomonaWASHINGTON71999
RavendaleCALIFORNIA62024
LikelyCALIFORNIA62024
BatesIDAHO62023
Ruby ValleyNEVADA62001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.