Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Kestrel In Tamaulipan Brushlands
American Kestrel in Tamaulipan Brushlands has held roughly steady: up 1% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
+1%Since 1982
13Routes In Region
23Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 160% by 2023 — from 0.08 in 2018 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+160%Change by 2023
0.22Projected 2023 index
0.00–0.5095% range
±74.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2020 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2021 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2022 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2023 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Laredo | TEXAS | 5 | 2015 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 3 | 2002 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 3 | 2009 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2007 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 2 | 1998 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 1 | 1988 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 1 | 2008 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 1 | 1982 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 1 | 2008 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 1 | 2005 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.